Time-consistent polities and growth in developing countries: An empirical analysis


Butkiewicz J. L., Yanikkaya H.

Review of World Economics, vol.143, no.2, pp.306-323, 2007 (SSCI, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 143 Issue: 2
  • Publication Date: 2007
  • Doi Number: 10.1007/s10290-007-0109-9
  • Journal Name: Review of World Economics
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.306-323
  • Keywords: property rights, stability, growth, democracy, autocracy
  • Manisa Celal Bayar University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

This paper investigates whether stable political regimes develop stable systems of rules that are conducive to growth, similar to property rights. New measures of political stability indicate that stable political systems stimulate growth in developing autocratic countries. Contrarily, political instability significantly reduces growth in autocracies, as instability creates a time-consistency problem. In some specifications, an instability measure has significant negative growth effects in democracies, and may be an alternative to measures of property rights. Similarly, ethnic fractionalization reduces growth in autocracies, but not developing democracies. Tests indicate that these results are not sensitive to extreme values in the data. © 2007 Kiel Institute.