THE ROLE OF SERVICE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TÜRKİYE’S TOTAL TRADE GROWTH

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Yağmur İ.

14th International ZEUGMA CONGRESS ON SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH, Gaziantep, Türkiye, 9 - 10 Eylül 2025, ss.669-674, (Tam Metin Bildiri)

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Gaziantep
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.669-674
  • Açık Arşiv Koleksiyonu: AVESİS Açık Erişim Koleksiyonu
  • Manisa Celal Bayar Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

The growing importance of the service sector in Türkiye’s total trade volume makes it necessary to examine the foreign trade performance of this sector. In a globalizing economy, service exports and imports play a decisive role in a country’s overall trade balance and growth dynamics. This study aims to reveal the effects of Türkiye’s service exports and imports on total trade growth for the period 1990-2024. The unit root analysis of the series was performed using Fourier ADF, Fourier LM and Fourier GLS unit root tests. The causality analysis was performed using the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality test. According to the results of the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality test, a unidirectional and statistically significant causality relationship was identified from service exports and imports to total trade. This finding shows that changes in service exports and imports directly affect Türkiye’s total trade volume. However, no significant causal relationship was found between total trade and service exports and imports. These results reveal that fluctuations in Türkiye’s total trade volume are largely driven by movements in the services sector and that this sector plays a decisive role in the country’s foreign trade performance.