Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
17th International Congress on Social, Humanities, Administrative, and Educational Sciences in a Changing World, Ürgenç, Özbekistan, 4 - 06 Ekim 2025, ss.100-107, (Tam Metin Bildiri)
The potential relationship
between a country’s defense policies and arms imports, which are an indicator
of these policies, and migration flows, which profoundly affect demographic
structure, is gaining increasing importance in the literature on international
relations and economics. The main objective of this study is to investigate
whether there is a causal relationship between arms imports and net migration
in the Turkish economy for the period 1990-2024. The analysis was conducted
using the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality test after examining the stationarity
of the series with the Fourier KPSS test. According to the analysis results, no
statistically significant causal relationship in either direction was found
between the variables of arms imports and net migration. This finding implies
that Türkiye’s arms imports did not directly and causally affect net migration
movements during the period under review.